Politics178 days left

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

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YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$5.8K

200 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 53 traders

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 MARKETS · $405.8K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←

4¢+10¢$5.8K1/6

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+10¢4¢

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢−6¢$4.1K0/5

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−6¢6¢

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+11¢$11.3K1/7

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢2¢

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$3.3K0/2

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+20¢$5.8K2/7

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+20¢2¢

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

14¢+32¢$176.4K12/14

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+32¢14¢

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢−6¢$2.1K0/2

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−6¢6¢

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+17¢$8.3K2/8

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+17¢3¢

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$1.9K0/4

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+22¢$4.2K2/6

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+22¢3¢

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+15¢$15.8K2/8

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+15¢5¢

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+9¢$7.2K1/7

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+45¢$6.8K4/4

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+45¢5¢

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+23¢$2.4K3/8

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+23¢4¢

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢+49¢$3.1K1/1

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+49¢1¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

38¢+15¢$24.7K16/14

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+15¢38¢

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+27¢$23.7K6/12

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+27¢6¢

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+13¢$4.5K1/5

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+13¢4¢

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+31¢$9211/2

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+21¢$7.3K1/3

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

89¢−17¢$19.5K13/5

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−17¢89¢

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+31¢$4.9K1/2

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$1.9K0/2

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$3.3K0/6

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$1.9K0/4

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢+49¢$6.0K2/2

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+49¢1¢

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

12¢+30¢$11.6K5/7

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢12¢

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+20¢$5.3K1/3

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+20¢5¢

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$2.5K0/5

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+19¢$4.9K2/7

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢+49¢$3.2K1/1

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+49¢1¢

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$1.6K0/4

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$3.7K1/6

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

39¢+1¢$10.4K6/9

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+1¢39¢

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+21¢$4.7K2/6

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+29¢$7421/2

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+29¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs6 NO

14%86%

86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%

+2 new YES$3+0 new NO$0

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.2K

YES Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

92.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$1.1K(-96.0%)

Whales

1

123f18🥇hedged

Entry 94¢·1,167.7 shares·also $92 on NO

$-1050INV $1.1K · WR 92.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.3K

Avg Win Rate

68.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$1.1K(+83.8%)

Whales

6

Entry 95¢·1,082.1 shares

+$12INV $1.0K · WR 66.7%

Hot-SkullProven🥈

Entry 96¢·150 shares

+$0INV $144 · WR 70.1%

123f18🥉hedged

Entry 8¢·1,222.7 shares·also $1.1K on YES

+$1085INV $92 · WR 92.0%

Entry 73¢·80 shares

+$18INV $59 · WR 59.0%

Entry 96¢·3.5 shares

$-0INV $3 · WR 68.5%

tzquantalpha001

Entry 93¢·3.4 shares

+$0INV $3 · WR 66.5%

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