Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$61.3K
1,202 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 239 traders · 1 on both sides
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
5 MARKETS · $158.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs17 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $846 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $825·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$7.9K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+29.7%)
Whales
32
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 100¢·4,251 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4.2K · WR 57.7%
H
Hot-Skull🥈hedged
Entry 59¢·2,021.3 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$831
+$831INV $1.2K · WR 70.2%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·973.9 shares
Invested
$486
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$488
+$488INV $486 · WR 63.4%
L
libratus1◆Proven
Entry 97¢·474.7 shares
Invested
$459
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $459 · WR 68.7%
D
DeverNoom◆Proven
Entry 95¢·420 shares
Invested
$401
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $401 · WR 65.6%
R
ronaldk
Entry 54¢·349.8 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $190 · WR 71.7%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 63¢·296.9 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $188 · WR 69.2%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 82¢·203.2 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $167 · WR 63.6%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 48¢·266.5 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $127 · WR 62.5%
T
tjahedged
Entry 184¢·53.9 shares·also $549 on NO
Invested
$99
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $99 · WR 74.1%
Showing top 10 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-96.3%)
Whales
17
H
Hot-Skull🥇hedged
Entry 109¢·1,312.5 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-1435
$-1435INV $1.4K · WR 70.2%
T
tja🥈hedged
Entry 31¢·1,749.3 shares·also $99 on YES
Invested
$549
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-549
$-549INV $549 · WR 74.1%
W
wish-🥉
Entry 91¢·218.5 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $200 · WR 84.0%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 15¢·410 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 56.7%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 37¢·50 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 69.6%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 1¢·897.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 74.1%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 6¢·196.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 70.0%
Q
qcp11◆Proven
Entry 35¢·18.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 68.8%
3
0x34a9e26a...
Entry 12¢·40.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 65.7%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7hedged
Entry 7¢·59.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 59.0%
Showing top 10 of 17
Smart Whale Trades
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