Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

38¢

38% implied

NO Price

62¢

62% implied

Volume

$4.9K

337 trades

Smart Whales

22

of 96 traders

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?

6 MARKETS · $39.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11

13¢+7¢$5.8K8/33

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11+7¢13¢

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←

38¢−29¢$4.9K2/21

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←−29¢38¢

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11

37¢−26¢$5.3K2/16

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−26¢37¢

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11

8¢+4¢$5.0K2/15

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11+4¢8¢

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11

2¢−2¢$5.0K0/13

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−2¢2¢

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11

6¢+13¢$13.5K5/22

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11+13¢6¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs20 NO

9%91%

91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$162+8 new NO$315

$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

0 smart whales2 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $218 is directional: YES $1·NO $217

YES Team

Total Invested

$3

Avg Win Rate

57.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$0(+2.9%)

Whales

2

0x250bbea1...🥇

Entry 31¢·3.2 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 57.4%

Showing top 1 of 2

NO Team

Total Invested

$719

Avg Win Rate

80.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$10(+1.4%)

Whales

20

Entry 60¢·250 shares

+$16INV $150 · WR 74.1%

graynotebook19🥈

Entry 82¢·133.8 shares

$-27INV $110 · WR 89.3%

godblessme2026🥉

Entry 54¢·100 shares

+$8INV $54 · WR 88.2%

Entry 60¢·87.1 shares

+$6INV $52 · WR 76.1%

Entry 54¢·90 shares

+$7INV $49 · WR 85.9%

Entry 81¢·59.4 shares

$-11INV $48 · WR 72.2%

Entry 53¢·85.6 shares

+$8INV $45 · WR 79.2%

Entry 89¢·40 shares

$-11INV $36 · WR 88.1%

Entry 65¢·45 shares

$-1INV $29 · WR 79.6%

Quirky-Timber-Reform

Entry 50¢·54 shares

+$6INV $27 · WR 92.7%

Showing top 10 of 20

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 13% YES: 25-29 ships transit the Strait…