Geopolitics2 days left
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$3.4K
251 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 91 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $18.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
27¢−9¢$2.0K3/14Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−9¢27¢
$2.0K3/14
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
24¢−12¢$3.0K2/15Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−12¢24¢
$3.0K2/15
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
19¢−11¢$2.2K1/11Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−11¢19¢
$2.2K1/11
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
20¢−11¢$2.9K1/10Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−11¢20¢
$2.9K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs18 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$39+10 new NO$412
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $404 is directional: YES $48·NO $356YES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-33.0%)
Whales
5
F
FishHunter🥇
Entry 17¢·120 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $20 · WR 71.7%
J
Jnf17🥈
Entry 18¢·80.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $15 · WR 66.7%
M
ms1910🥉
Entry 7¢·100 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 57.8%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 16¢·39 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $6 · WR 66.3%
Showing top 4 of 5
NO Team
Total Invested
$683
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$203(+29.7%)
Whales
18
T
tja◆Proven🥇
Entry 82¢·268.3 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $220 · WR 74.1%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·226 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $113 · WR 88.2%
Q
Quantum777🥉
Entry 93¢·115 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $107 · WR 81.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 80¢·60 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $48 · WR 89.0%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·80.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $40 · WR 88.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $40 · WR 69.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 79.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $12 · WR 85.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 18
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