Geopolitics2 days left
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$4.6K
190 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 59 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
27¢−9¢$2.1K3/14Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−9¢27¢
$2.1K3/14
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
24¢−12¢$3.1K2/15Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−12¢24¢
$3.1K2/15
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
18¢−10¢$2.2K1/11Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−10¢18¢
$2.2K1/11
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
20¢−11¢$2.9K1/10Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−11¢20¢
$2.9K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs11 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$47+14 new NO$819
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$289(+17.3%)
Whales
11
S
SLVRBTM🥇
Entry 95¢·1,370.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1.3K · WR 82.9%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 50¢·246 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $123 · WR 85.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 67¢·80 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $54 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $50 · WR 85.9%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 79.5%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $27 · WR 81.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 82.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 64¢·15 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 85.8%
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