Geopolitics2 days left
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$2.0K
239 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 97 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $18.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←
27¢−9¢$2.0K3/14Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←−9¢27¢
$2.0K3/14
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
24¢−12¢$3.0K2/15Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−12¢24¢
$3.0K2/15
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
19¢−11¢$2.2K1/11Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−11¢19¢
$2.2K1/11
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
20¢−11¢$2.9K1/10Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−11¢20¢
$2.9K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs26 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$80+36 new NO$59
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $24 is directional: YES $7·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+7.2%)
Whales
5
Y
yopik🥇
Entry 18¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 61.1%
6
0x6bd15acc...🥈
Entry 50¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 58.6%
S
Secondary-Magic🥉
Entry 15¢·19 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 66.3%
J
Jnf17hedged
Entry 85¢·2.9 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 66.7%
A
0xa80b1301...
Entry 28¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$366
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$121(+33.1%)
Whales
26
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 50¢·226 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $113 · WR 89.0%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $50 · WR 85.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 55¢·80 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $44 · WR 72.2%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·80.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $40 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 69¢·50.5 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $35 · WR 79.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $22 · WR 88.2%
J
Jnf17hedged
Entry 471¢·2.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 66.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 85.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 82.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 87.7%
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