Geopolitics2 days left
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$2.2K
178 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 67 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
27¢−9¢$2.1K3/14Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−9¢27¢
$2.1K3/14
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
24¢−12¢$3.1K2/15Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−12¢24¢
$3.1K2/15
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←
18¢−10¢$2.2K1/11Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←−10¢18¢
$2.2K1/11
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
20¢−11¢$2.9K1/10Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−11¢20¢
$2.9K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs12 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$108+13 new NO$474
$30 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $95 is directional: YES $1·NO $94YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-6.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$223
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$77(+34.5%)
Whales
12
M
ms1910🥇
Entry 83¢·50 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $42 · WR 57.8%
L
LesterDiamond🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $40 · WR 88.2%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca🥉
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $27 · WR 67.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 79¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $22 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·29.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $15 · WR 79.5%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 78¢·14 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 66.3%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 85.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 82.9%
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