Geopolitics2 days left
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$2.9K
163 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 67 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
27¢−9¢$2.1K3/14Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−9¢27¢
$2.1K3/14
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
24¢−12¢$3.1K2/15Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−12¢24¢
$3.1K2/15
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
18¢−10¢$2.2K1/11Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−10¢18¢
$2.2K1/11
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←
20¢−11¢$2.9K1/10Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←−11¢20¢
$2.9K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$99+11 new NO$420
$9 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $253 is directional: YES $0·NO $253YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+12.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$480
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$75(+15.7%)
Whales
11
S
SLVRBTM🥇
Entry 90¢·260.7 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $235 · WR 82.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 68¢·100 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $68 · WR 85.9%
L
LesterDiamond🥉
Entry 50¢·80.4 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $40 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $40 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·55.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $28 · WR 79.5%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $27 · WR 79.1%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 89¢·12 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 66.3%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 85.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 59¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 82.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 89.3%
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