Geopolitics2 days left
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$3.1K
253 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 84 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
27¢−9¢$2.1K3/14Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−9¢27¢
$2.1K3/14
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←
24¢−12¢$3.1K2/15Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←−12¢24¢
$3.1K2/15
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
18¢−10¢$2.2K1/11Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−10¢18¢
$2.2K1/11
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
20¢−11¢$2.9K1/10Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−11¢20¢
$2.9K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs17 NO
11%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$233+7 new NO$127
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $252 is directional: YES $1·NO $251YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-9.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$474
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$103(+21.7%)
Whales
17
A
Aware.🥇
Entry 60¢·250 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $150 · WR 73.1%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 54¢·100 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $54 · WR 88.2%
J
Jovial-Diary🥉
Entry 60¢·87.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $52 · WR 76.3%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $36 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 88¢·40 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $35 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 90¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $27 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 80¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 85.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 59¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $24 · WR 69.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $20 · WR 89.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 85.8%
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