YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$554.1K
5,684 trades
Smart Whales
163
of 1,265 traders
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS · $3.76M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0¢+24¢$901.8K30/96Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+24¢0¢
$901.8K30/96
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record←
0¢+38¢$554.1K62/100Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record←+38¢0¢
$554.1K62/100
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record
65¢−24¢$707.0K99/140Will 2026 be the hottest year on record−24¢65¢
$707.0K99/140
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record
33¢+2¢$464.4K69/129Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record+2¢33¢
$464.4K69/129
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
56 YESvs107 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$1+8 new NO$989
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17.9K is directional: YES $16.9K·NO $922YES Team
Total Invested
$20.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$17.5K(-86.8%)
Whales
56
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 46¢·33,851.4 shares
Invested
$15.6K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-15491
$-15491INV $15.6K · WR 57.7%
G
gopfan2🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·795.5 shares·also $5.1K on NO
Invested
$675
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-673
$-673INV $675 · WR 60.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 17¢·3,378.5 shares
Invested
$563
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-555
$-555INV $563 · WR 87.7%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 18¢·2,239.9 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-394
$-394INV $399 · WR 75.9%
E
Eia
Entry 2¢·13,994.6 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $250 · WR 61.7%
J
jofo
Entry 3¢·1,905.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $51 · WR 61.7%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 1¢·8,350.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $45 · WR 59.3%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 17¢·108.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 85.7%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10¢·94 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 89.1%
P
Parmabram
Entry 33¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 71.6%
Showing top 10 of 56
NO Team
Total Invested
$47.2K
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$63.8K(+135.1%)
Whales
107
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 67¢·10,955.7 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3606
+$3606INV $7.3K · WR 85.8%
G
gopfan2🥈hedged
Entry 14¢·37,108.8 shares·also $675 on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$31894
+$31894INV $5.1K · WR 60.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 52¢·9,427.4 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4472
+$4472INV $4.9K · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 57¢·7,289.8 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3080
+$3080INV $4.2K · WR 79.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 95¢·3,025.5 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $2.9K · WR 69.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 36¢·5,690.4 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3643
+$3643INV $2.0K · WR 72.2%
K
korda77
Entry 97¢·1,957.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $1.9K · WR 85.2%
I
i18z
Entry 97¢·1,800.4 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $1.7K · WR 87.1%
A
Anon321321
Entry 98¢·1,659 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $1.6K · WR 86.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 95¢·1,695.6 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $1.6K · WR 86.7%
Showing top 10 of 107
Smart Whale Trades
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