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Geopolitics5 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$3.8K
78 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 59 traders

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $10.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

12 YESvs8 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 78%· net of hedges
+38 new YES$2.4K+37 new NO$935
$749 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $279 is directional: YES $222·NO $57
YES Team
Total Invested
$222
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+0.9%)
Whales
12
M
m4ds🥇
Entry 80¢·264.3 shares
+$2INV $211 · WR 72.2%
9
0x921e08fa...🥈
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.5%
9
0x9cf62cfe...🥉
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.8%
C
0xcdd5951e...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.3%
D
0xd308b1aa...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.9%
3
0x395dacb6...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.7%
D
0xd253f083...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.3%
F
0xfcb9271d...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.3%
9
0x9273db63...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.5%
A
0xa63d6d53...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 12

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 63% YES: US x Iran effective ceasefire…