Polymarket wallet 0xa63d…46ec

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xa63d…46ec has made 319 trades on Polymarket across 173 markets, $498 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (11%). On 161 resolved markets the win rate is 56.5%, lifetime P&L +$14. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · $1 · 70¢ → 80¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes · $1 · 78¢ → 97¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No · $1 · 77¢ → 94¢
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes · $1 · 49¢ → 56¢
• Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 27¢
• Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Yes · $1 · 31¢ → 29¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 14¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?No · $0 · 42¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 26, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?No · +$0 · Oct 24, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.