Polymarket wallet 0xd253…a65e

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xd253…a65e has made 184 trades on Polymarket across 101 markets, $196 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (18%) and crypto (10%). On 98 resolved markets the win rate is 58.2%, lifetime P&L +$8. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 99¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?No · $1 · 38¢ → 47¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?No · $1 · 69¢ → 77¢
• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 82¢

Latest closed positions

• Will AMD say "Debt" during earnings call?Yes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?Yes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No · +$3 · Nov 3, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?No · +$3 · Nov 3, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?Yes · -$1 · Nov 3, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 31, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?No · -$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?No · +$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?Yes · +$2 · Oct 29, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?No · -$1 · Oct 28, 2026

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