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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$6.8K
143 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 65 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$3.6K+43 new NO$3.3K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$21 of $637 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $613
YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-5.7%)
Whales
4
W
wagonwheel🥇hedged
Entry 47¢·21.9 shares·also $98 on NO
$-0INV $10 · WR 64.6%
B
0xba524897...🥈
Entry 47¢·2.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
F
0xfad855dd...🥉
Entry 50¢·2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.0%
8
0x8a244460...
Entry 50¢·2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3