Polymarket wallet 0x9aef…521d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x9aef…521d has made 202 trades on Polymarket across 113 markets, $330 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (12%). On 99 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Yes · $2 · 38¢ → 57¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?No · $1 · 64¢ → 84¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes · $1 · 59¢ → 59¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes · $1 · 32¢ → 30¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes · $1 · 54¢ → 49¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes · $1 · 47¢ → 40¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?No · $1 · 66¢ → 56¢
• Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%?Yes · $1 · 71¢ → 59¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.