Polymarket wallet 0x3c70…5202

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x3c70…5202 has made 172 trades on Polymarket across 167 markets, $233 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (21%) and tech (9%). On 153 resolved markets the win rate is 58.2%, lifetime P&L +$19. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No · $1 · 75¢ → 97¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 22¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 39¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?No · $1 · 79¢ → 64¢

Latest closed positions

• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 11?Yes · +$0 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Yes · -$1 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?No · +$0 · Nov 9, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 9, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.