Polymarket wallet 0xfad8…3e8a

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xfad8…3e8a has made 166 trades on Polymarket across 95 markets, $239 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (15%) and economics (9%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 55.8%, lifetime P&L +$3. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No · $2 · 51¢ → 83¢
• Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 12 2026?No · $2 · 62¢ → 96¢
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026?No · $1 · 70¢ → 98¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes · $1 · 32¢ → 31¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?Yes · $1 · 37¢ → 20¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.