Polymarket wallet 0xd308…2ca7

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xd308…2ca7 has made 410 trades on Polymarket across 211 markets, $528 in volume. Most of it is in sports (59%) and geopolitics (6%). On 202 resolved markets the win rate is 57.4%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?No · $1 · 64¢ → 81¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No · $1 · 69¢ → 68¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No · $1 · 54¢ → 52¢
• Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?Yes · $1 · 23¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?Yes · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Yes · +$2 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?No · -$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026

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