Politics6 days left
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$240.3K
958 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 241 traders
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $1.29M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs40 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$6.1K+48 new NO$13.3K
$5.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.5K is directional: YES $3.6K·NO $953YES Team
Total Invested
$20.3K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.8K(-33.3%)
Whales
24
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥇
Entry 49¢·16,513.4 shares
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-2881
$-2881INV $8.1K · WR 70.3%
H
Hakei.🥈
Entry 72¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-4025
$-4025INV $7.2K · WR 71.6%
C
conherence🥉
Entry 27¢·7,450.2 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $2.0K · WR 58.4%
C
C03B
Entry 32¢·2,376 shares
Invested
$751
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $751 · WR 87.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 31¢·2,021.2 shares
Invested
$621
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $621 · WR 57.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 27¢·1,607.1 shares
Invested
$441
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $441 · WR 79.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 37¢·1,166.2 shares
Invested
$427
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $427 · WR 72.0%
D
data-sync
Entry 34¢·895 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $300 · WR 80.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 26¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $262 · WR 69.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 30¢·439.4 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $130 · WR 75.4%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$15.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.6K(+37.7%)
Whales
40
W
wienerdog🥇
Entry 69¢·5,400 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $3.7K · WR 55.8%
T
themagicofcinema◆Proven🥈
Entry 31¢·10,608.1 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$3951
+$3951INV $3.3K · WR 72.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 64¢·2,805.1 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $1.8K · WR 86.0%
T
TimRob
Entry 39¢·4,426 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$1294
+$1294INV $1.7K · WR 76.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 71¢·1,256 shares
Invested
$892
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $892 · WR 79.6%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 70¢·940 shares
Invested
$659
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $659 · WR 74.2%
K
kaxel78
Entry 50¢·939.7 shares
Invested
$470
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $470 · WR 85.5%
K
klli27
Entry 73¢·516.4 shares
Invested
$378
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $378 · WR 86.2%
A
akroll
Entry 72¢·464.9 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $337 · WR 84.6%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 71¢·200 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $142 · WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 40
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