Politics21 days left
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
8ยข
8% implied
NO Price
92ยข
92% implied
Volume
$53.4K
191 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 76 traders
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS ยท $143.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs9 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars ยท 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%ยท net of hedges
+59 new YES$5.7K+37 new NO$36.3K
$4.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers โ left out of momentum
14 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $3.0K is directional: YES $686ยทNO $2.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$360(-24.0%)
Whales
11
C
Car๐ฅ
Entry 9ยขยท5,555 shares
Invested
$472
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $472 ยท WR 64.9%
2
20260601๐ฅ
Entry 9ยขยท2,755.5 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $234 ยท WR 64.4%
L
Lolakis๐ฅ
Entry 8ยขยท2,553.6 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $214 ยท WR 61.8%
Y
ythdfhfvj2
Entry 91ยขยท200 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $182 ยท WR 80.6%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 8ยขยท2,000 sharesยทalso $1.8K on NO
Invested
$168
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $168 ยท WR 65.1%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 50ยขยท254.7 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $127 ยท WR 55.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 27ยขยท214 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $57 ยท WR 57.0%
N
NellyDora
Entry 9ยขยท433.4 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $37 ยท WR 55.5%
7
77bCcPrd2uGw
Entry 8ยขยท63.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 ยท WR 62.9%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 8ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 ยท WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$832(+15.9%)
Whales
9
T
TimRob๐ฅ
Entry 92ยขยท2,500 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $2.3K ยท WR 76.0%
1
1walrus๐ฅhedged
Entry 92ยขยท2,000 sharesยทalso $168 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.8K ยท WR 65.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท860 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$360
+$360INV $430 ยท WR 85.9%
M
Majas
Entry 64ยขยท609.8 shares
Invested
$393
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $393 ยท WR 67.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50ยขยท269.3 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $135 ยท WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 91ยขยท80 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $73 ยท WR 85.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50ยขยท80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $40 ยท WR 86.0%
T
trashtier
Entry 15ยขยท180 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $28 ยท WR 63.2%
L
lpgb
Entry 92ยขยท21 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
โ
โINV $19 ยท WR 75.7%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 480ms