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Politics21 days left

Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$63.4K
159 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 62 traders

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

4 MARKETS · $200.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs9 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+29 new YES$9.2K+27 new NO$44.4K
$11.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$10.0K
Avg Win Rate
69.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.1K(-71.2%)
Whales
9
P
pilipro3🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·9,242 shares·also $669 on NO
$-6778INV $8.0K · WR 71.2%
L
Lolakis🥈
Entry 14¢·7,531.2 shares
$-7INV $1.0K · WR 61.8%
T
TimRob🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·428.9 shares·also $81 on NO
$-339INV $395 · WR 76.0%
1
1walrus
Entry 14¢·2,271.4 shares
$-7INV $314 · WR 65.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 13¢·2,000 shares
$-3INV $264 · WR 57.7%
M
Majas
Entry 13¢·144.2 shares
$-0INV $19 · WR 67.4%
I
iamnumberfour
Entry 13¢·86 shares
$-0INV $11 · WR 68.4%
S
sbimbg
Entry 13¢·50 shares
+$0INV $7 · WR 72.2%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 17¢·25.1 shares·also $17 on NO
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 53% YES: oil be below $85 on November 2…