11 days left
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$33.2K
1,648 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 282 traders · 2 on both sides
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
14 MARKETS · $390.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+7¢$8.1K2/25by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting+7¢0¢
$8.1K2/25
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+16¢$8.7K3/16by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting+16¢0¢
$8.7K3/16
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting←
32¢−3¢$33.2K14/35No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting←−3¢32¢
$33.2K14/35
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
65¢−34¢$36.9K15/34by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting−34¢65¢
$36.9K15/34
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
1¢+5¢$10.0K2/30by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting+5¢1¢
$10.0K2/30
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
7¢+26¢$102.7K27/54No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+26¢7¢
$102.7K27/54
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
96¢−53¢$67.8K39/52No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−53¢96¢
$67.8K39/52
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
76¢−47¢$37.3K11/27No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−47¢76¢
$37.3K11/27
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
85¢−53¢$57.9K28/60No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−53¢85¢
$57.9K28/60
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
40¢−27¢$12.1K3/20No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−27¢40¢
$12.1K3/20
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
25¢−18¢$4.2K1/13No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting−18¢25¢
$4.2K1/13
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
71¢−55¢$4.4K3/16No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−55¢71¢
$4.4K3/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs36 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$694+5 new NO$69
$50 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$81 of $670 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $450·NO $138YES Team
Total Invested
$988
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$145(-14.7%)
Whales
14
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·938.1 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $279 · WR 63.8%
F
firegold🥈
Entry 78¢·315.5 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $248 · WR 59.6%
N
nicholasflamel🥉hedged
Entry 48¢·259.4 shares·also $341 on NO
Invested
$123
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $123 · WR 61.2%
A
anonymousbtcuser1000hedged
Entry 52¢·225 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $118 · WR 70.5%
N
neverhackme
Entry 42¢·120 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $50 · WR 75.8%
T
tinman2
Entry 87¢·50 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $44 · WR 66.1%
V
vino1234hedged
Entry 9¢·310.7 shares·also $381 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $29 · WR 61.7%
M
Mithrandir.hedged
Entry 44¢·40 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $18 · WR 69.6%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 30¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $12 · WR 67.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 82¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+45.8%)
Whales
36
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 43¢·2,160 shares
Invested
$938
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$541
+$541INV $938 · WR 79.6%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 41¢·1,116.9 shares
Invested
$459
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$306
+$306INV $459 · WR 59.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 33¢·1,310.3 shares
Invested
$438
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$460
+$460INV $438 · WR 87.7%
V
vino1234hedged
Entry 64¢·596.5 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$381
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $381 · WR 61.7%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 131¢·259.4 shares·also $123 on YES
Invested
$341
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-163
$-163INV $341 · WR 61.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 44¢·592.2 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $261 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 44¢·384.7 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $168 · WR 79.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 49¢·337.6 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $164 · WR 55.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 47¢·328.1 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $155 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 51¢·255.8 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $130 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 36
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 851ms