Politics20 days left
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$17.3K
227 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 97 traders · 1 on both sides
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $213.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs26 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$4.0K+26 new NO$3.2K
$605 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $4.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.4K·NO $91YES Team
Total Invested
$10.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+17.3%)
Whales
15
C
conherence🥇
Entry 52¢·10,191.6 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$285
+$285INV $5.3K · WR 59.0%
C
Car🥈
Entry 55¢·2,537.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $1.4K · WR 65.0%
T
TimRob🥉
Entry 25¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$1480
+$1480INV $1.3K · WR 76.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 54¢·2,003.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.1K · WR 57.6%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 55¢·1,125.5 shares
Invested
$618
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $618 · WR 74.2%
A
Antony82
Entry 55¢·640.5 shares
Invested
$353
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $353 · WR 60.5%
N
NellyDora
Entry 56¢·130.8 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $73 · WR 55.5%
L
Lolakishedged
Entry 54¢·11.4 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 8 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$433(-9.2%)
Whales
26
L
lpgb🥇
Entry 50¢·2,725.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
$-119
$-119INV $1.4K · WR 77.2%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone🥈
Entry 50¢·1,541.1 shares
Invested
$771
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $771 · WR 74.1%
P
puravida🥉
Entry 55¢·1,018.1 shares
Invested
$558
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $558 · WR 59.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 47¢·850.3 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $400 · WR 88.1%
M
Majas
Entry 55¢·692.8 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $379 · WR 66.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·693.7 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $346 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·510.8 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $255 · WR 79.6%
A
akroll
Entry 45¢·333.3 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $151 · WR 88.3%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 50¢·212.9 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $106 · WR 59.7%
L
Likaseent
Entry 45¢·200 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $91 · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 26
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