Politics20 days left
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$74.0K
284 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 90 traders
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $213.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs19 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$1.1K+15 new NO$16.9K
$824 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $658·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.4K(-80.2%)
Whales
12
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 93¢·4,120 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-3502
$-3502INV $3.8K · WR 56.6%
M
MisTKy🥈hedged
Entry 92¢·1,177.6 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-995
$-995INV $1.1K · WR 71.4%
C
Car🥉
Entry 7¢·9,800 shares
Invested
$658
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $658 · WR 65.0%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 92¢·445.8 shares
Invested
$411
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-377
$-377INV $411 · WR 61.0%
2
20260601
Entry 90¢·329.2 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-272
$-272INV $297 · WR 63.6%
M
mad4x
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-169
$-169INV $200 · WR 57.1%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 92¢·200 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-168
$-168INV $184 · WR 66.5%
L
lpgbhedged
Entry 8¢·402 shares·also $3.4K on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $31 · WR 77.2%
Showing top 8 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.2K
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.7K(+40.3%)
Whales
19
T
TimRob🥇
Entry 53¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$3957
+$3957INV $5.3K · WR 76.0%
L
lpgb🥈hedged
Entry 93¢·3,639.7 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $3.4K · WR 77.2%
S
StudyPrediction◆Proven🥉
Entry 93¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$930
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $930 · WR 69.2%
P
puravida
Entry 94¢·924.6 shares
Invested
$864
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $864 · WR 59.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 61¢·1,354.8 shares
Invested
$828
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$422
+$422INV $828 · WR 88.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 93¢·699.6 shares
Invested
$648
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $648 · WR 85.9%
A
akroll
Entry 68¢·666.7 shares
Invested
$451
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$164
+$164INV $451 · WR 88.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 93¢·435.9 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $404 · WR 79.6%
M
Majas
Entry 93¢·400 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $373 · WR 66.7%
L
Likaseent
Entry 92¢·400 shares
Invested
$368
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $368 · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 19
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