Politics20 days left
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$107.1K
316 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 92 traders · 1 on both sides
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $212.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs20 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$1.7K+12 new NO$10.5K
$67 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $834·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$11.0K
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.8K(-80.6%)
Whales
11
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 93¢·7,126 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-6107
$-6107INV $6.6K · WR 56.6%
C
conherence🥈
Entry 32¢·10,191.9 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-2473
$-2473INV $3.2K · WR 59.0%
L
Lolakis🥉
Entry 8¢·8,954.8 shares
Invested
$738
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $738 · WR 61.9%
N
NellyDorahedged
Entry 94¢·247.3 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$232
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-213
$-213INV $232 · WR 55.5%
C
Car
Entry 6¢·879.4 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $55 · WR 65.0%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 8¢·200 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 66.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 7¢·200 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 57.6%
P
puravida
Entry 6¢·187 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 59.8%
T
title1hedged
Entry 8¢·100 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 55.2%
K
kitty07
Entry 7¢·7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 71.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.5K
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+45.5%)
Whales
20
T
TimRob🥇
Entry 53¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$3955
+$3955INV $5.3K · WR 76.0%
L
lpgb🥈
Entry 92¢·1,417.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $1.3K · WR 77.2%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥉
Entry 93¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$934
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $934 · WR 74.2%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 63¢·1,354.8 shares
Invested
$853
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$400
+$400INV $853 · WR 88.1%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 91¢·754.1 shares
Invested
$686
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $686 · WR 58.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 64¢·693.7 shares
Invested
$441
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $441 · WR 85.9%
M
Majas
Entry 94¢·400 shares
Invested
$374
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $374 · WR 66.7%
A
akroll
Entry 50¢·666.7 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$283
+$283INV $333 · WR 88.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92¢·260.7 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $239 · WR 79.6%
L
Likaseent
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $200 · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 20
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