Politics20 days left
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$14.8K
186 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 55 traders
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $213.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs15 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$1.7K+10 new NO$3.7K
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.4K is directional: YES $4.4K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$269(+5.9%)
Whales
8
I
Imbleciar🥇
Entry 31¢·7,879.9 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2.4K · WR 75.0%
T
TimRob🥈
Entry 25¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$303
+$303INV $1.3K · WR 76.0%
C
Car🥉
Entry 31¢·2,064.8 shares
Invested
$648
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $648 · WR 65.0%
M
Majas
Entry 25¢·261.8 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $65 · WR 66.7%
N
NellyDora
Entry 43¢·150.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $65 · WR 55.5%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 49¢·96 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $47 · WR 55.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 45¢·82 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $37 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+42.9%)
Whales
15
L
lpgb🥇
Entry 50¢·2,502.1 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$471
+$471INV $1.3K · WR 77.2%
V
VictorLudorum🥈
Entry 53¢·1,182 shares
Invested
$624
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$191
+$191INV $624 · WR 88.1%
A
AlphaGooo🥉
Entry 30¢·1,511.2 shares
Invested
$460
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$582
+$582INV $460 · WR 61.0%
A
akroll
Entry 50¢·666.7 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $333 · WR 88.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 65¢·396.8 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $258 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 56¢·380.4 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $215 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·417.4 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $209 · WR 79.6%
L
Likaseent
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $200 · WR 71.4%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 52¢·292.2 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $151 · WR 59.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 69¢·36.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
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