Imbleciar · Polymarket wallet 0xa6f8…316d

Wallet snapshot

Imbleciar has made 930 trades on Polymarket across 35 markets, $1.1M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and economics (27%). On 24 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$62K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · $3,595 · 31¢ → 31¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No · $143 · 18¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

• Seahawks vs. BroncosYes · +$243 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$6,760 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$3,514 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$1,167 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · +$750 · Sep 22, 2026
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsYes · -$154 · Aug 28, 2026
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesNo · +$2,600 · Aug 28, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNo · +$2,000 · Aug 22, 2026
• Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No · +$186 · Jul 28, 2026
• Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes · +$151 · Jul 24, 2026

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