Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 51% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$8.3K
206 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 76 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
6 MARKETS · $92.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+28¢$8.5K10/26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+28¢0¢
$8.5K10/26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+21¢$8.2K7/27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+21¢0¢
$8.2K7/27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+19¢$13.8K7/29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+19¢0¢
$13.8K7/29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
100¢−72¢$31.0K14/36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−72¢100¢
$31.0K14/36
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs24 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$166+29 new NO$6.3K
$12 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $250 is directional: YES $64·NO $186YES Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$65(-98.8%)
Whales
5
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 12¢·459.8 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $57 · WR 77.6%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven🥈
Entry 1¢·814.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 86.0%
Q
qcp2🥉
Entry 1¢·323.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 65.2%
K
kroko
Entry 0¢·41.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.6%
E
Edje25
Entry 0¢·46.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
81.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+71.8%)
Whales
24
G
glm404.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·807.2 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$403
+$403INV $404 · WR 85.8%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 67¢·547.4 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$183
+$183INV $364 · WR 87.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 50¢·685.7 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$342
+$342INV $343 · WR 72.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 52¢·571.2 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$271
+$271INV $300 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·276 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $138 · WR 88.8%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 90¢·134 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $121 · WR 75.8%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $100 · WR 59.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·90 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $90 · WR 89.3%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·172 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $86 · WR 59.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·146 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $73 · WR 88.2%
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