Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$23.0K
529 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 129 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
6 MARKETS · $92.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+28¢$8.5K10/26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+28¢0¢
$8.5K10/26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+21¢$8.2K7/27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+21¢0¢
$8.2K7/27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+19¢$13.8K7/29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+19¢0¢
$13.8K7/29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
100¢−72¢$31.0K14/36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−72¢100¢
$31.0K14/36
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Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs38 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+57 new YES$1.5K+65 new NO$18.9K
$626 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales35 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.8K is directional: YES $51·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.5K(-96.3%)
Whales
10
B
Baraozin🥇
Entry 47¢·15,395 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-7025
$-7025INV $7.2K · WR 69.2%
4
0x44be4eed...🥈
Entry 48¢·483.4 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-227
$-227INV $233 · WR 60.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 85¢·160.7 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$137
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $137 · WR 55.3%
E
Edje25
Entry 95¢·131.3 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $125 · WR 59.5%
T
Toncar16
Entry 4¢·1,333.3 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $47 · WR 57.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 1¢·395.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 86.0%
V
vyemfql
Entry 4¢·24.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.9%
Showing top 7 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+17.0%)
Whales
38
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥇
Entry 96¢·1,437 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $1.4K · WR 71.3%
G
glm404.fund🥈
Entry 93¢·1,369.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $1.3K · WR 85.8%
A
almost-never🥉
Entry 96¢·1,229.1 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $1.2K · WR 73.4%
P
PetrGrepl
Entry 93¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $1.1K · WR 66.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 74¢·1,042.8 shares
Invested
$777
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$253
+$253INV $777 · WR 87.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 64¢·786.6 shares
Invested
$506
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$271
+$271INV $506 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 71¢·602.2 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $430 · WR 72.1%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 94¢·385.2 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $363 · WR 77.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 61¢·510 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $311 · WR 87.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 93¢·268 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $250 · WR 85.1%
Showing top 10 of 38
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