Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$8.2K
307 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 100 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
6 MARKETS · $92.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+28¢$8.5K10/26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+28¢0¢
$8.5K10/26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
0¢+21¢$8.2K7/27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+21¢0¢
$8.2K7/27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+19¢$13.8K7/29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+19¢0¢
$13.8K7/29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
100¢−72¢$31.0K14/36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−72¢100¢
$31.0K14/36
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs27 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$219+34 new NO$2.6K
$51 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $890 is directional: YES $108·NO $783YES Team
Total Invested
$115
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$74(-64.1%)
Whales
7
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 17¢·335.2 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 77.6%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 34¢·99 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $34 · WR 55.4%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉
Entry 17¢·70 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 59.6%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 1¢·814.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 4 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+55.0%)
Whales
27
R
RenanPresidente.🥇
Entry 88¢·699.3 shares
Invested
$615
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $615 · WR 77.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 57¢·731.2 shares
Invested
$420
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$311
+$311INV $420 · WR 87.6%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·807.2 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$403
+$403INV $404 · WR 85.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 60¢·453.7 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$181
+$181INV $273 · WR 87.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 52¢·290 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $151 · WR 89.3%
V
vyemfql
Entry 72¢·160 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $115 · WR 68.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 57¢·200 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $115 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·216 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $112 · WR 87.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 53¢·200 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $105 · WR 59.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $80 · WR 88.8%
Showing top 10 of 27
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