Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$8.5K
358 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 87 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
6 MARKETS · $92.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
0¢+28¢$8.5K10/26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+28¢0¢
$8.5K10/26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+21¢$8.2K7/27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+21¢0¢
$8.2K7/27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+19¢$13.8K7/29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+19¢0¢
$13.8K7/29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
100¢−72¢$31.0K14/36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−72¢100¢
$31.0K14/36
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Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs26 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+30 new YES$66+25 new NO$1.3K
$34 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $264·NO $2.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$342
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$276(-80.6%)
Whales
10
G
glm404.fund🥇
Entry 17¢·505.7 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $84 · WR 85.8%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥈hedged
Entry 14¢·530.5 shares·also $166 on NO
Invested
$75
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $75 · WR 56.3%
A
Antony82🥉
Entry 13¢·500.3 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $66 · WR 55.4%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 17¢·335.2 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 77.6%
B
BiDiFakePolls
Entry 10¢·500 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 59.7%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 1¢·814.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 86.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 11¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.6%
Showing top 7 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+34.1%)
Whales
26
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥇
Entry 90¢·2,188.3 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$210
+$210INV $2.0K · WR 59.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem🥈
Entry 52¢·881.9 shares
Invested
$463
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$419
+$419INV $463 · WR 59.4%
H
Hasty-Worker🥉
Entry 57¢·797.3 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$343
+$343INV $454 · WR 59.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 90¢·412.5 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $370 · WR 59.5%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 65¢·416.7 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $272 · WR 59.5%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 68¢·381.1 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $258 · WR 59.6%
R
RenanPresidente.
Entry 81¢·286.4 shares
Invested
$232
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $232 · WR 77.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·422 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$211
+$211INV $211 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·398.4 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$199
+$199INV $199 · WR 87.6%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 59¢·332.8 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $198 · WR 59.5%
Showing top 10 of 26
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