Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$10.9K
189 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 85 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
6 MARKETS · $35.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
4¢+12¢$7.3K4/21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+12¢4¢
$7.3K4/21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
14¢+5¢$6.0K3/13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+5¢14¢
$6.0K3/13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
40¢−33¢$8.0K1/13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−33¢40¢
$8.0K1/13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
42¢−6¢$10.9K5/9Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←−6¢42¢
$10.9K5/9
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$4.0K+43 new NO$6.0K
$180 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $465 is directional: YES $465·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$469
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$429(+91.6%)
Whales
4
R
RenanPresidente.🥇
Entry 21¢·1,262.9 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$339
+$339INV $261 · WR 77.4%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥈
Entry 31¢·585.3 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $181 · WR 76.7%
A
aliiz🥉
Entry 22¢·104 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $23 · WR 65.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 24¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$364(+16.0%)
Whales
15
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·3,538.5 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$299
+$299INV $1.8K · WR 65.5%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 53¢·185.6 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $98 · WR 87.1%
A
0xabb9d267...🥉
Entry 53¢·159.9 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $85 · WR 65.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 55¢·100 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $55 · WR 87.6%
M
Musk5
Entry 53¢·100 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $53 · WR 71.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·96.6 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $49 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $40 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·75.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $38 · WR 79.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·46 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $23 · WR 89.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $20 · WR 69.0%
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