YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$172.2K
1,216 trades
Smart Whales
65
of 495 traders
AI bubble burst by...?
2 MARKETS · $3.31M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs41 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 18¢
YES 37%NO 63%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 18¢
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%
$44
$88
+5 new YES · 1 smart whale+1 new NO · 1 smart whale
In-form wallets ⓘ9 of 10 on YES
YES 9· $1.4KNO 1· $210one dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
9 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 19h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $33.7K is directional: YES $1.7K·NO $32.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$461(-24.1%)
Whales
24
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 23¢·4,715.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-253
$-253INV $1.1K · WR 57.1%
L
Lolakis🥈
Entry 22¢·1,624.9 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $357 · WR 63.8%
S
StarMaster🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·500 shares·also $380 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $125 · WR 55.1%
R
Rusty-Wit
Entry 22¢·460 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $101 · WR 64.3%
Y
yamaurishedged
Entry 74¢·100 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $74 · WR 55.4%
U
UbuntuTrading◆Proven
Entry 18¢·200 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $36 · WR 65.6%
D
d666
Entry 27¢·60 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 84.0%
D
Duskborn
Entry 25¢·64.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $16 · WR 60.2%
B
0xb130fe79...
Entry 28¢·37 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 60.0%
L
lenny4878
Entry 29¢·35.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 58.7%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$32.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+6.2%)
Whales
41
A
Agonizing-Utilisation🥇
Entry 78¢·27,807.2 shares
Invested
$21.8K
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$978
+$978INV $21.8K · WR 59.5%
R
ryzt🥈
Entry 74¢·3,346.4 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$275
+$275INV $2.5K · WR 65.2%
T
troyjacksonsuperfan🥉
Entry 73¢·2,710.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$244
+$244INV $2.0K · WR 66.7%
P
pmcb
Entry 82¢·1,907.7 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1.6K · WR 91.8%
O
ourdemocracy
Entry 73¢·1,237.5 shares
Invested
$898
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $898 · WR 82.4%
B
bmtr
Entry 70¢·700.5 shares
Invested
$489
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $489 · WR 61.8%
C
Cryp
Entry 79¢·600 shares
Invested
$475
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $475 · WR 87.7%
T
TheKinginYellow
Entry 80¢·499.9 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $400 · WR 68.8%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 76¢·500 shares·also $125 on YES
Invested
$380
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $380 · WR 55.1%
G
Gdub
Entry 77¢·350 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $270 · WR 70.0%
Showing top 10 of 41
Smart Whale Trades
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