5 days left
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
YES Price
64¢
64% implied
NO Price
37¢
37% implied
Volume
$979
133 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 82 traders
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
20 MARKETS · $44.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
50¢−8¢$3.5K11/15Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−8¢50¢
$3.5K11/15
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
66¢−1¢$1.4K11/6Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−1¢66¢
$1.4K11/6
Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
50¢+13¢$2565/3Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+13¢50¢
$2565/3
Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
14¢+50¢$7.3K7/4Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+50¢14¢
$7.3K7/4
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28←
64¢−1¢$97912/7Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28←−1¢64¢
$97912/7
Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
70¢−27¢$3.3K23/31Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−27¢70¢
$3.3K23/31
Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
72¢−12¢$2.2K41/27Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−12¢72¢
$2.2K41/27
Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
10¢+57¢$5.2K8/4Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+57¢10¢
$5.2K8/4
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
37¢+10¢$4.0K21/24Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+10¢37¢
$4.0K21/24
Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
64¢−9¢$1.7K26/21Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−9¢64¢
$1.7K26/21
Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
55¢−8¢$2.7K8/9Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−8¢55¢
$2.7K8/9
Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
23¢+16¢$2.3K17/27Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+16¢23¢
$2.3K17/27
Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
31¢+36¢$1.1K2/1Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+36¢31¢
$1.1K2/1
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
79¢−20¢$1.3K10/7Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−20¢79¢
$1.3K10/7
Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
56¢−6¢$8427/7Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−6¢56¢
$8427/7
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
20¢+30¢$4211/1Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+30¢20¢
$4211/1
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
37¢+13¢$7032/2Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+13¢37¢
$7032/2
Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
25¢+50¢$2.1K3/1Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+50¢25¢
$2.1K3/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs7 NO
63%37%
63% of smart money is betting YES on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team80 traders
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.8%)
Whales
12
2
0x25838295...🥇
Entry 53¢·75.1 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 59.5%
4
0x4412ac03...🥈
Entry 49¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 75.0%
4
0x4b9c5d9f...🥉
Entry 47¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 71.4%
4
0x41793ca0...
Entry 49¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
8
0x8886a776...
Entry 49¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.7%
7
0x77a98ffa...
Entry 49¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.5%
4
0x4a0ce756...
Entry 49¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 63.2%
8
0x86065d84...
Entry 49¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 70.6%
A
0xa41eea16...
Entry 49¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.2%
A
0xa84ddc75...
Entry 49¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.5%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team80 traders
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-10.8%)
Whales
7
F
0xf5dd9b63...🥇
Entry 54¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 72.2%
2
0x29e32c84...🥈
Entry 56¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.3%
D
0xd418fca0...🥉
Entry 54¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 63.6%
2
0x2a64e224...
Entry 54¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.6%
6
0x6b79543f...
Entry 54¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 65.4%
B
0xbc68bf76...
Entry 54¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 6 of 7
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