Polymarket wallet 0x4b9c…b7a0

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4b9c…b7a0 has made 222 trades on Polymarket across 119 markets, $415 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and politics (8%). On 112 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%, lifetime P&L +$8. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 73¢ → 85¢
• Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?Yes · $0 · 30¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?Yes · -$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Trump renames AI by September 30?No · -$1 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 28, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.