5 days left
Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$256
60 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 48 traders
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
20 MARKETS · $44.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
50¢−8¢$3.5K11/15Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−8¢50¢
$3.5K11/15
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
66¢−1¢$1.4K11/6Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−1¢66¢
$1.4K11/6
Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28←
50¢+13¢$2565/3Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28←+13¢50¢
$2565/3
Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
14¢+50¢$7.3K7/4Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+50¢14¢
$7.3K7/4
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
64¢−1¢$97912/7Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−1¢64¢
$97912/7
Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
70¢−27¢$3.3K23/31Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−27¢70¢
$3.3K23/31
Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
72¢−12¢$2.2K41/27Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−12¢72¢
$2.2K41/27
Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
10¢+57¢$5.2K8/4Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+57¢10¢
$5.2K8/4
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
37¢+10¢$4.0K21/24Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+10¢37¢
$4.0K21/24
Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
64¢−9¢$1.7K26/21Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−9¢64¢
$1.7K26/21
Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
55¢−8¢$2.7K8/9Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−8¢55¢
$2.7K8/9
Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
23¢+16¢$2.3K17/27Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+16¢23¢
$2.3K17/27
Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
31¢+36¢$1.1K2/1Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+36¢31¢
$1.1K2/1
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
79¢−20¢$1.3K10/7Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−20¢79¢
$1.3K10/7
Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
56¢−6¢$8427/7Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−6¢56¢
$8427/7
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
20¢+30¢$4211/1Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+30¢20¢
$4211/1
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
37¢+13¢$7032/2Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+13¢37¢
$7032/2
Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
25¢+50¢$2.1K3/1Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+50¢25¢
$2.1K3/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs3 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money is betting YES on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team48 traders
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
5
9
0x9bede9d7...🥇
Entry 42¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 67.7%
9
0x9b422c51...🥈
Entry 45¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 64.7%
4
0x4613426c...🥉
Entry 45¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 64.7%
5
0x55138d96...
Entry 45¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 70.6%
6
0x6e20bf09...
Entry 44¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 71.4%
NO Team48 traders
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-8.2%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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