5 days left
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$3.5K
247 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 112 traders
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
20 MARKETS · $44.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28←
50¢−8¢$3.5K11/15Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28←−8¢50¢
$3.5K11/15
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
67¢−2¢$1.4K11/6Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−2¢67¢
$1.4K11/6
Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
45¢+18¢$2565/3Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+18¢45¢
$2565/3
Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
14¢+50¢$7.3K7/4Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+50¢14¢
$7.3K7/4
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
53¢+10¢$97912/7Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+10¢53¢
$97912/7
Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
70¢−27¢$3.3K23/31Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−27¢70¢
$3.3K23/31
Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
72¢−12¢$2.2K41/27Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−12¢72¢
$2.2K41/27
Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
10¢+57¢$5.2K8/4Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+57¢10¢
$5.2K8/4
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
37¢+10¢$4.0K21/24Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+10¢37¢
$4.0K21/24
Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
64¢−9¢$1.7K26/21Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−9¢64¢
$1.7K26/21
Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
55¢−8¢$2.7K8/9Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−8¢55¢
$2.7K8/9
Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
26¢+13¢$2.3K17/27Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+13¢26¢
$2.3K17/27
Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
31¢+36¢$1.1K2/1Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+36¢31¢
$1.1K2/1
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
77¢−18¢$1.3K10/7Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−18¢77¢
$1.3K10/7
Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
56¢−6¢$8427/7Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28−6¢56¢
$8427/7
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
20¢+30¢$4211/1Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+30¢20¢
$4211/1
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
37¢+13¢$7032/2Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+13¢37¢
$7032/2
Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28
25¢+50¢$2.1K3/1Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28+50¢25¢
$2.1K3/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs15 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team108 traders
Total Invested
$105
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-2.6%)
Whales
11
P
PPMT🥇
Entry 57¢·60 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $34 · WR 55.9%
2
0x25838295...🥈
Entry 57¢·52.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $30 · WR 59.5%
O
Olcan🥉
Entry 41¢·39.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 77.1%
B
Botadouro
Entry 37¢·22.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 63.3%
B
badatthis
Entry 43¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 65.4%
T
Tulip357
Entry 55¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 62.0%
3
0x3554aaba...
Entry 50¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.3%
E
0xe51dcc4a...
Entry 50¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.6%
3
0x31636274...
Entry 47¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.6%
9
0x9171ff1d...
Entry 47¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team108 traders
Total Invested
$255
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+11.7%)
Whales
15
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 40¢·186.8 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $75 · WR 77.1%
D
DerDon🥈
Entry 49¢·110 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $54 · WR 57.0%
A
aliiz🥉
Entry 52¢·78.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $41 · WR 69.0%
M
macrosteaks
Entry 40¢·100.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $40 · WR 59.8%
M
motardio
Entry 48¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 55.2%
F
0xfd15910a...
Entry 53¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 80.0%
A
0xa875a2a2...
Entry 55¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 64.3%
2
0x20b70b74...
Entry 56¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.9%
A
0xaaddc3fb...
Entry 56¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.1%
C
0xc84afab3...
Entry 56¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 15
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