Polymarket wallet 0x2583…261a

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x2583…261a has made 427 trades on Polymarket across 171 markets, $20K in volume. Most of it is in politics (39%) and geopolitics (32%). On 157 resolved markets the win rate is 56.7%, lifetime P&L -$164. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes · $503 · 15¢ → 77¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?No · $247 · 33¢ → 82¢
• Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Yes · $25 · 78¢ → 40¢
• Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No · $25 · 22¢ → 23¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Yes · $13 · 12¢ → 4¢
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes · $11 · 7¢ → 4¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes · $2 · 4¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · +$61 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Yes · +$68 · Oct 8, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes · +$30 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$35 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Trump say "Citibank" in September?No · +$9 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Trump say "Amazon" in September?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.