Polymarket wallet 0x8606…5913

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8606…5913 has made 227 trades on Polymarket across 113 markets, $259 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (15%) and politics (14%). On 109 resolved markets the win rate is 55%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes · $1 · 42¢ → 27¢
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?No · $1 · 65¢ → 34¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?Yes · $0 · 30¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.65?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14?Yes · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $740 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.