YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$3.4K
181 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 91 traders · 2 on both sides
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
13 MARKETS · $24.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs19 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%· net of hedges
+41 new YES$1.6K+49 new NO$432
$247 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 59% of the money is not a bet
$340 of $581 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $105·NO $135YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$998(+83.7%)
Whales
20
J
johnsalchichon🥇
Entry 50¢·1,678.3 shares
Invested
$839
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$838
+$838INV $839 · WR 59.8%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 87¢·190.8 shares·also $207 on NO
Invested
$167
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $167 · WR 58.4%
P
PippiTrader🥉hedged
Entry 38¢·243.7 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$92
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $92 · WR 61.9%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 61¢·128.2 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $78 · WR 64.3%
8
0x806d0ff4...
Entry 26¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 57.6%
3
0x3da36f5e...
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 56.0%
4
0x438a9b2d...
Entry 25¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 57.5%
C
0xc885785f...
Entry 26¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 55.4%
3
0x398e2d60...
Entry 24¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 62.2%
F
0xf1e47c7d...
Entry 26¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$343
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$233(-68.0%)
Whales
19
G
grasstoucher69🥇hedged
Entry 65¢·319 shares·also $167 on YES
Invested
$207
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-136
$-136INV $207 · WR 58.4%
I
inuyashaa🥈
Entry 50¢·102.4 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $51 · WR 70.0%
Z
ZalphaAI🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·128.2 shares·also $78 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 64.3%
O
okx-uot
Entry 54¢·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $22 · WR 66.3%
A
Arman4
Entry 67¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 · WR 68.3%
P
PippiTraderhedged
Entry 75¢·4 shares·also $92 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 61.9%
0
0x033bc336...
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.7%
1
0x1fd70f8d...
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.0%
F
0xf9404a75...
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.0%
4
0x4bad7c0e...
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 19
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 426ms