Polymarket wallet 0x4bad…0ae8

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4bad…0ae8 has made 247 trades on Polymarket across 122 markets, $270 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and politics (8%). On 114 resolved markets the win rate is 59.6%, lifetime P&L +$10. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 68¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · $1 · 46¢ → 41¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?No · $1 · 28¢ → 24¢
• Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 38¢
• US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes · $1 · 32¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Yes · -$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.