YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$541
73 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 43 traders
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
14 MARKETS · $2.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs13 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$193+26 new NO$569
$69 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $127 is directional: YES $114·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$131
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+6.5%)
Whales
11
P
PippiTrader◆Proven🥇
Entry 32¢·334 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $105 · WR 62.3%
A
Afito🥈hedged
Entry 66¢·25 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $17 · WR 100.0%
9
0x94bb99f3...🥉
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.3%
E
0xe5a739a7...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.9%
E
0xeef99f02...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.7%
F
0xf1e47c7d...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.1%
1
0x1c8f1f36...
Entry 36¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 63.3%
A
0xa1ca8fc3...
Entry 32¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.5%
A
0xa2af1637...
Entry 32¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.1%
B
0xb34f05d0...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+58.0%)
Whales
13
A
Afito🥇hedged
Entry 20¢·25 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $5 · WR 100.0%
1
0x168dfefe...🥈
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.1%
2
0x24011650...🥉
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.3%
3
0x3bcecdb3...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.9%
5
0x576251dc...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.2%
9
0x921e08fa...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.9%
9
0x95f95fd3...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.3%
5
0x59dd19c6...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.7%
8
0x81ec7b9f...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.5%
9
0x9c2bb81e...
Entry 71¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 10 of 13
Smart Whale Trades
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