Polymarket wallet 0xa1ca…653b

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xa1ca…653b has made 142 trades on Polymarket across 74 markets, $162 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and crypto (12%). On 72 resolved markets the win rate is 58.3%, lifetime P&L +$7. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?". Last trade: Nov 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?No · $1 · 44¢ → 52¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 89¢

Latest closed positions

• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?No · -$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?No · -$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Yes · +$1 · Oct 30, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?No · +$0 · Oct 21, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 18, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.