YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$1.8K
144 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 73 traders · 1 on both sides
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
14 MARKETS · $8.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs22 NO
41%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$410+48 new NO$1.4K
$441 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales21 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$62 of $315 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $168·NO $85YES Team
Total Invested
$216
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$117(-53.9%)
Whales
15
P
PippiTrader◆Proven🥇
Entry 32¢·494 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $156 · WR 62.3%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 21¢·151 shares·also $97 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $31 · WR 58.5%
A
Afito🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·25 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $17 · WR 100.0%
9
0x94bb99f3...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.9%
E
0xe5a739a7...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.3%
E
0xeef99f02...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 65.1%
F
0xf1e47c7d...
Entry 31¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.1%
1
0x1c8f1f36...
Entry 36¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.3%
A
0xa1ca8fc3...
Entry 32¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.4%
A
0xa2af1637...
Entry 32¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.1%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$122
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$32(+26.3%)
Whales
22
G
grasstoucher69🥇hedged
Entry 77¢·126.6 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$97
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $97 · WR 58.5%
A
Afito🥈hedged
Entry 20¢·25 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $5 · WR 100.0%
1
0x168dfefe...🥉
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.8%
2
0x24011650...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.3%
3
0x3bcecdb3...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.4%
5
0x576251dc...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.2%
9
0x921e08fa...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.3%
9
0x95f95fd3...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.3%
5
0x59dd19c6...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.4%
8
0x81ec7b9f...
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.3%
Showing top 10 of 22
Smart Whale Trades
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