Polymarket wallet 0x398e…071f

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x398e…071f has made 146 trades on Polymarket across 145 markets, $168 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (20%) and crypto (11%). On 135 resolved markets the win rate is 59.3%, lifetime P&L +$21. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?No · $1 · 71¢ → 100¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 32¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 54¢
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?No · $1 · 77¢ → 86¢
• Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?No · $1 · 23¢ → 24¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?No · $1 · 79¢ → 73¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes · $1 · 78¢ → 49¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 48¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?Yes · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · +$0 · Nov 10, 2026
• Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 10, 2026
• Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?No · +$1 · Nov 10, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.