Polymarket wallet 0x4179…fcab

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4179…fcab has made 230 trades on Polymarket across 122 markets, $432 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (11%). On 114 resolved markets the win rate is 57.9%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 73¢ → 81¢
• Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?No · $1 · 61¢ → 67¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · $1 · 37¢ → 23¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?No · +$0 · Oct 2, 2026

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