Politics13 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$604
62 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 37 traders
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$7+9 new NO$182
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $1·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-34.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$123
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$59(+48.4%)
Whales
9
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 87¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $58 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 70¢·24 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $17 · WR 89.3%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 78.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 92¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 66.7%
K
korda77
Entry 0¢·17.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $0 · WR 85.3%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 615ms