Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$3.4K
164 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 67 traders
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs10 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$26+11 new NO$161
$9 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $0·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$152
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$44(+28.9%)
Whales
10
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 71¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $47 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 58¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $36 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 61¢·24 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 87.7%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 82¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 82.8%
A
AmericaFirst1
Entry 62¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 58.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 78¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 88.1%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 66.7%
K
korda77
Entry 14¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 85.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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