Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$597
61 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 35 traders
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs12 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+4 new YES$2+8 new NO$87
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $2·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-68.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$150
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$65(+43.5%)
Whales
12
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 87¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $58 · WR 85.9%
6
0x6b09b7f5...🥈
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 85.3%
P
Pesky-Galoshes-Proportion🥉
Entry 99¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 75.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 88.7%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 80.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 89.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1839ms