Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$4.2K
203 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 73 traders
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs9 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$122+13 new NO$486
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+9.8%)
Whales
9
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 58¢·108.6 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $63 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 70¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $47 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 86.1%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·17.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 85.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 86.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 87.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 57¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 66.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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